https://cory-whitney.com/tag/talk/talkWowchemy (https://wowchemy.com)en-usWed, 30 Sep 2026 00:00:00 +0000https://cory-whitney.com/images/icon_hua2ec155b4296a9c9791d015323e16eb5_11927_512x512_fill_lanczos_center_2.pnghttps://cory-whitney.com/tag/talk/https://cory-whitney.com/post/2026-convoi-expected-value-causal-ambiguity/Wed, 30 Sep 2026 00:00:00 +0000https://cory-whitney.com/post/2026-convoi-expected-value-causal-ambiguity/<p>I was invited by Anna Heath to open the new academic year of <strong>ConVOI, the Collaborative Network for Value of Information</strong>, with a talk on <em>Decision-Making under complexity and uncertainty: Causal Ambiguity in Ethnoecology Research</em>.</p> <p>I presented my work on the <strong>Expected Value of Causal Ambiguity</strong>: what is at stake when stakeholders work from different causal models of the same system, as with a road decision in a Hmong community in Laos.</p> <p>The group knows value of information inside out. Within 45 minutes they linked the problem to structural uncertainty analysis, causal discovery, model averaging, multi-criteria decision analysis, Pareto-based value of information and tipping-point analysis. I came away with sharper questions, a clearer view of where the idea sits in existing work, and some promising directions to develop together.</p> <p>Thank you to everyone who took part for being so generous with your time and so constructively critical. I look forward to continuing the conversation.</p>